MPT

MPT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($5.65)
DCF$66.58+1078.5%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 1.7%
DDM$7.42+31.3%
EV/EBITDA$5.62-0.6%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $872.72M
Rev: 25.4% / EPS: —
Computed: 6.39%
Computed WACC: 6.39%
Cost of equity (Re)12.25%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.45 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.50%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)25.80%
Debt weight (D/V)74.20%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$132.56
Current Price$5.65
Upside / Downside+2246.1%
Net Debt (used)$9.23B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term17.4%21.4%25.4%29.4%33.4%
7.0%$75.95$91.94$110.13$130.76$154.04
8.0%$57.36$69.96$84.30$100.55$118.88
9.0%$44.59$54.88$66.58$79.83$94.77
10.0%$35.32$43.93$53.72$64.79$77.28
11.0%$28.30$35.65$43.99$53.42$64.04

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.46
Yahoo: $7.71

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$5.65
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.39%
Computed WACC: 6.39%
Cost of equity (Re)12.25%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.45 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.50%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)25.80%
Debt weight (D/V)74.20%

Results

Current Price$5.65
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-6.0%
Historical Revenue Growth25.4%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$872.72M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.36

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$7.42
Current Price$5.65
Upside / Downside+31.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $910.44M
Current: 13.8×
Default: $9.23B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$5.62
Current Price$5.65
Upside / Downside-0.6%
Implied EV$12.61B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$5.23B$7.23B$9.23B$11.23B$13.23B
9.8x$6.21$2.89$-0.44$-3.76$-7.09
11.8x$9.24$5.91$2.59$-0.74$-4.06
13.8x$12.27$8.94$5.62$2.29$-1.03
15.8x$15.29$11.97$8.64$5.32$1.99
17.8x$18.32$15.00$11.67$8.35$5.02