MPX

MPX — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($7.57)
DCF$23.64+212.3%
Graham Number$5.07-33.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 12.3%
DDM$11.54+52.4%
EV/EBITDA$7.76+2.6%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $8.08M
Rev: 35.0% / EPS: -45.0%
Computed: 10.41%
Computed WACC: 10.41%
Cost of equity (Re)10.42%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.11 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.94%
Debt weight (D/V)0.06%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$18.75
Current Price$7.57
Upside / Downside+147.7%
Net Debt (used)-$43.36M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term27.0%31.0%35.0%39.0%43.0%
7.0%$27.13$31.35$36.11$41.46$47.46
8.0%$21.67$24.98$28.71$32.90$37.59
9.0%$17.93$20.62$23.64$27.04$30.84
10.0%$15.23$17.46$19.97$22.80$25.96
11.0%$13.19$15.08$17.21$19.60$22.27

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.32
Yahoo: $3.57

Results

Graham Number$5.07
Current Price$7.57
Margin of Safety-33.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.41%
Computed WACC: 10.41%
Cost of equity (Re)10.42%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.11 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.94%
Debt weight (D/V)0.06%

Results

Current Price$7.57
Implied Near-term FCF Growth16.1%
Historical Revenue Growth35.0%
Historical Earnings Growth-45.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$8.08M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.56

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$11.54
Current Price$7.57
Upside / Downside+52.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $17.67M
Current: 12.6×
Default: -$43.36M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$7.76
Current Price$7.57
Upside / Downside+2.6%
Implied EV$223.42M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.04B-$1.04B-$43.36M$956.64M$1.96B
8.6x$63.91$34.81$5.71$-23.39$-52.49
10.6x$64.94$35.84$6.74$-22.37$-51.47
12.6x$65.96$36.86$7.76$-21.34$-50.44
14.6x$66.99$37.89$8.79$-20.31$-49.41
16.6x$68.02$38.92$9.82$-19.28$-48.38