MSCI

MSCI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($573.88)
DCF$306.65-46.6%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 19.8%
DDM$168.92-70.6%
EV/EBITDA$571.82-0.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.16B
Rev: 10.6% / EPS: -2.3%
Computed: 9.89%
Computed WACC: 9.89%
Cost of equity (Re)11.35%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.28 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)87.18%
Debt weight (D/V)12.82%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$257.06
Current Price$573.88
Upside / Downside-55.2%
Net Debt (used)$5.83B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term2.6%6.6%10.6%14.6%18.6%
7.0%$322.07$400.28$490.67$594.65$713.70
8.0%$247.09$309.61$381.78$464.72$559.60
9.0%$195.30$247.02$306.65$375.11$453.35
10.0%$157.42$201.26$251.76$309.66$375.78
11.0%$128.53$166.39$209.95$259.84$316.76

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $15.67
Yahoo: $-36.09

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. BVPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$573.88
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.89%
Computed WACC: 9.89%
Cost of equity (Re)11.35%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.28 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)87.18%
Debt weight (D/V)12.82%

Results

Current Price$573.88
Implied Near-term FCF Growth22.4%
Historical Revenue Growth10.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-2.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.16B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $8.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$168.92
Current Price$573.88
Upside / Downside-70.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.82B
Current: 26.2×
Default: $5.83B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$571.82
Current Price$573.88
Upside / Downside-0.4%
Implied EV$47.84B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$3.83B$4.83B$5.83B$6.83B$7.83B
22.2x$499.73$486.12$472.51$458.90$445.29
24.2x$549.39$535.78$522.17$508.56$494.95
26.2x$599.04$585.43$571.82$558.21$544.60
28.2x$648.69$635.08$621.47$607.86$594.25
30.2x$698.35$684.74$671.13$657.52$643.90