MSGS

MSGS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($328.56)
DCF$189899372.80+57797371.6%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 66.2%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$404.72+23.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $16.63M
Rev: 12.8% / EPS: 644.9%
Computed: 6.42%
Computed WACC: 6.42%
Cost of equity (Re)7.38%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.56 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)86.94%
Debt weight (D/V)13.06%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$387227547.25
Current Price$328.56
Upside / Downside+117855861.5%
Net Debt (used)$1.11B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term636.9%640.9%644.9%648.9%652.9%
7.0%$304891584.51$313256874.64$321804779.76$330538273.53$339460361.78
8.0%$230151435.35$236466082.29$242918578.44$249511168.52$256246121.50
9.0%$179812912.69$184746423.26$189787632.68$194938294.71$200200182.03
10.0%$144000551.75$147951479.88$151988656.98$156113487.51$160327391.12
11.0%$117496540.76$120720279.41$124014392.40$127380025.70$130818337.65

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.69
Yahoo: $-11.72

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative. BVPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$328.56
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.42%
Computed WACC: 6.42%
Cost of equity (Re)7.38%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.56 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)86.94%
Debt weight (D/V)13.06%

Results

Current Price$328.56
Implied Near-term FCF Growth53.1%
Historical Revenue Growth12.8%
Historical Earnings Growth644.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$16.63M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$328.56
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $7.43M
Current: 1212.5×
Default: $1.11B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$404.72
Current Price$328.56
Upside / Downside+23.2%
Implied EV$9.01B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.11B$1.11B$1.11B$1.11B$1.11B
1208.5x$403.20$403.20$403.20$403.20$403.20
1210.5x$403.96$403.96$403.96$403.96$403.96
1212.5x$404.72$404.72$404.72$404.72$404.72
1214.5x$405.48$405.48$405.48$405.48$405.48
1216.5x$406.24$406.24$406.24$406.24$406.24