MSIF

MSIF — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($12.34)
DCF$41749.69+338228.1%
Graham Number$24.94+102.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 18.6%
DDM$28.84+133.7%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $28.33M
Rev: 5.6% / EPS: 205.6%
Computed: 6.69%
Computed WACC: 6.69%
Cost of equity (Re)8.60%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.78 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.81%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)52.55%
Debt weight (D/V)47.45%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$76709.74
Current Price$12.34
Upside / Downside+621534.9%
Net Debt (used)$510.60M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term197.6%201.6%205.6%209.6%213.6%
7.0%$61133.16$65353.09$69802.88$74491.80$79429.34
8.0%$46471.17$49678.94$53061.42$56625.67$60378.90
9.0%$36564.45$39088.34$41749.69$44554.03$47507.06
10.0%$29491.74$31527.39$33673.91$35935.75$38317.50
11.0%$24237.58$25910.54$27674.60$29533.43$31490.80

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.78
Yahoo: $15.54

Results

Graham Number$24.94
Current Price$12.34
Margin of Safety+102.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.69%
Computed WACC: 6.69%
Cost of equity (Re)8.60%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.78 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.81%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)52.55%
Debt weight (D/V)47.45%

Results

Current Price$12.34
Implied Near-term FCF Growth10.5%
Historical Revenue Growth5.6%
Historical Earnings Growth205.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$28.33M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.40

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$28.84
Current Price$12.34
Upside / Downside+133.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $510.60M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-10.88
Current Price$12.34
Upside / Downside-188.2%
Implied EV$0