MSM

MSM — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($94.08)
DCF$57.13-39.3%
Graham Number$45.21-51.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 19.5%
DDM$71.69-23.8%
EV/EBITDA$94.11+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $142.81M
Rev: 4.0% / EPS: 11.8%
Computed: 7.92%
Computed WACC: 7.92%
Cost of equity (Re)8.80%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.82 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)90.05%
Debt weight (D/V)9.95%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$71.54
Current Price$94.08
Upside / Downside-24.0%
Net Debt (used)$539.77M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term3.8%7.8%11.8%15.8%19.8%
7.0%$60.24$73.75$89.34$107.25$127.74
8.0%$47.06$57.84$70.28$84.55$100.85
9.0%$37.96$46.87$57.13$68.90$82.33
10.0%$31.31$38.86$47.54$57.48$68.81
11.0%$26.24$32.75$40.23$48.79$58.54

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.67
Yahoo: $24.76

Results

Graham Number$45.21
Current Price$94.08
Margin of Safety-51.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.92%
Computed WACC: 7.92%
Cost of equity (Re)8.80%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.82 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)90.05%
Debt weight (D/V)9.95%

Results

Current Price$94.08
Implied Near-term FCF Growth15.9%
Historical Revenue Growth4.0%
Historical Earnings Growth11.8%
Base FCF (TTM)$142.81M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.48

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$71.69
Current Price$94.08
Upside / Downside-23.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $414.27M
Current: 14.0×
Default: $539.77M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$94.11
Current Price$94.08
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$5.79B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.46B-$460.23M$539.77M$1.54B$2.54B
10.0x$100.26$82.34$64.42$46.50$28.58
12.0x$115.10$97.18$79.26$61.34$43.42
14.0x$129.95$112.03$94.11$76.19$58.27
16.0x$144.80$126.88$108.96$91.04$73.12
18.0x$159.65$141.73$123.81$105.89$87.97