MTCH

MTCH — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($30.46)
DCF$460.47+1411.5%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: -1.8%
DDM$15.86-47.9%
EV/EBITDA$30.84+1.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $873.89M
Rev: 2.1% / EPS: 40.6%
Computed: 7.49%
Computed WACC: 7.49%
Cost of equity (Re)11.68%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.34 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)64.18%
Debt weight (D/V)35.82%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$643.35
Current Price$30.46
Upside / Downside+2011.8%
Net Debt (used)$3.06B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term32.6%36.6%40.6%44.6%48.6%
7.0%$544.58$631.97$730.09$839.91$962.45
8.0%$425.01$493.29$569.93$655.67$751.32
9.0%$343.29$398.51$460.47$529.78$607.07
10.0%$284.19$329.98$381.35$438.78$502.81
11.0%$239.67$278.37$321.76$370.26$424.32

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.38
Yahoo: $-1.09

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. BVPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$30.46
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.49%
Computed WACC: 7.49%
Cost of equity (Re)11.68%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.34 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)64.18%
Debt weight (D/V)35.82%

Results

Current Price$30.46
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-5.8%
Historical Revenue Growth2.1%
Historical Earnings Growth40.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$873.89M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.77

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$15.86
Current Price$30.46
Upside / Downside-47.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.05B
Current: 9.8×
Default: $3.06B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$30.84
Current Price$30.46
Upside / Downside+1.2%
Implied EV$10.34B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.06B$2.06B$3.06B$4.06B$5.06B
5.8x$21.47$17.24$13.00$8.76$4.53
7.8x$30.39$26.16$21.92$17.68$13.45
9.8x$39.31$35.07$30.84$26.60$22.37
11.8x$48.23$43.99$39.76$35.52$31.28
13.8x$57.15$52.91$48.67$44.44$40.20