MTD

MTD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($1325.09)
DCF$1081.80-18.4%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 20.3%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$1366.67+3.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $687.08M
Rev: 8.1% / EPS: 17.0%
Computed: 11.47%
Computed WACC: 11.47%
Cost of equity (Re)12.20%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.44 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.50%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)92.28%
Debt weight (D/V)7.72%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$716.38
Current Price$1325.09
Upside / Downside-45.9%
Net Debt (used)$2.20B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term9.0%13.0%17.0%21.0%25.0%
7.0%$1169.52$1407.44$1680.51$1992.52$2347.55
8.0%$920.19$1109.15$1325.83$1573.22$1854.53
9.0%$748.52$903.85$1081.80$1284.81$1515.49
10.0%$623.38$754.25$904.05$1074.80$1268.69
11.0%$528.30$640.63$769.10$915.43$1081.46

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $42.09
Yahoo: $-1.16

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. BVPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$1325.09
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 11.47%
Computed WACC: 11.47%
Cost of equity (Re)12.20%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.44 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.50%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)92.28%
Debt weight (D/V)7.72%

Results

Current Price$1325.09
Implied Near-term FCF Growth27.3%
Historical Revenue Growth8.1%
Historical Earnings Growth17.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$687.08M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$1325.09
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.21B
Current: 24.7×
Default: $2.20B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1366.67
Current Price$1325.09
Upside / Downside+3.1%
Implied EV$29.98B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$198.44M$1.20B$2.20B$3.20B$4.20B
20.7x$1226.57$1177.37$1128.17$1078.97$1029.77
22.7x$1345.82$1296.62$1247.42$1198.22$1149.02
24.7x$1465.07$1415.87$1366.67$1317.47$1268.27
26.7x$1584.32$1535.12$1485.92$1436.72$1387.52
28.7x$1703.57$1654.37$1605.17$1555.97$1506.77