MTH

MTH — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($72.69)
DCF$-20.97-128.9%
Graham Number$104.35+43.6%
Reverse DCF
DDM$39.55-45.6%
EV/EBITDA$72.69-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$16.33M
Rev: -11.5% / EPS: -48.8%
Computed: 9.07%
Computed WACC: 9.07%
Cost of equity (Re)12.42%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.48 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)73.04%
Debt weight (D/V)26.96%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-20.93
Current Price$72.69
Upside / Downside-128.8%
Net Debt (used)$1.11B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-21.01$-21.89$-22.91$-24.08$-25.44
8.0%$-20.24$-20.95$-21.76$-22.71$-23.80
9.0%$-19.71$-20.29$-20.97$-21.76$-22.66
10.0%$-19.32$-19.82$-20.40$-21.06$-21.83
11.0%$-19.02$-19.45$-19.95$-20.53$-21.20

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $6.35
Yahoo: $76.22

Results

Graham Number$104.35
Current Price$72.69
Margin of Safety+43.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.07%
Computed WACC: 9.07%
Cost of equity (Re)12.42%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.48 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)73.04%
Debt weight (D/V)26.96%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$72.69
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-11.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-48.8%
Base FCF (TTM)-$16.33M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.92

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$39.55
Current Price$72.69
Upside / Downside-45.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $586.57M
Current: 10.2×
Default: $1.11B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$72.69
Current Price$72.69
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$5.97B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.11B$1.11B$1.11B$1.11B$1.11B
6.2x$37.57$37.57$37.57$37.57$37.57
8.2x$55.13$55.13$55.13$55.13$55.13
10.2x$72.69$72.69$72.69$72.69$72.69
12.2x$90.25$90.25$90.25$90.25$90.25
14.2x$107.81$107.81$107.81$107.81$107.81