MTRN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($162.47)
DCF	$6.16	-96.2%
Graham Number	$60.53	-62.7%
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 44.7%
DDM	$11.54	-92.9%
EV/EBITDA	$166.59	+2.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $24.59M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 12.1% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 7.81%

Computed WACC: 7.81%

Cost of equity (Re)9.07%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.87 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)86.17%

Debt weight (D/V)13.83%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$13.75

Current Price$162.47

Upside / Downside-91.5%

Net Debt (used)$525.48M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	4.1%	8.1%	12.1%	16.1%	20.1%
7.0%	$7.61	$13.96	$21.30	$29.71	$39.34
8.0%	$1.39	$6.46	$12.30	$19.01	$26.67
9.0%	$-2.91	$1.28	$6.10	$11.63	$17.94
10.0%	$-6.05	$-2.50	$1.58	$6.25	$11.57
11.0%	$-8.44	$-5.38	$-1.87	$2.15	$6.73

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $3.58

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $45.49

Results

Graham Number$60.53

Current Price$162.47

Margin of Safety-62.7%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 7.81%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 7.81%

Cost of equity (Re)9.07%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.87 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)86.17%

Debt weight (D/V)13.83%

Results

Current Price$162.47

Implied Near-term FCF Growth39.9%

Historical Revenue Growth12.1%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)$24.59M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $0.56

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$11.54

Current Price$162.47

Upside / Downside-92.9%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $184.51M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 21.6×

Net Debt($B)Default: $525.48M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$166.59

Current Price$162.47

Upside / Downside+2.5%

Implied EV$3.98B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$1.47B	-$474.52M	$525.48M	$1.53B	$2.53B
17.6x	$227.45	$179.23	$131.00	$82.78	$34.55
19.6x	$245.25	$197.02	$148.80	$100.57	$52.35
21.6x	$263.04	$214.82	$166.59	$118.37	$70.14
23.6x	$280.84	$232.61	$184.39	$136.16	$87.94
25.6x	$298.63	$250.41	$202.18	$153.96	$105.73

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