MTZ

MTZ — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($301.20)
DCF$1756.82+483.3%
Graham Number$62.90-79.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 55.5%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$301.45+0.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $96.63M
Rev: 15.8% / EPS: 92.8%
Computed: 13.14%
Computed WACC: 13.14%
Cost of equity (Re)14.69%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.89 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)89.46%
Debt weight (D/V)10.54%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$827.72
Current Price$301.20
Upside / Downside+174.8%
Net Debt (used)$2.40B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term84.8%88.8%92.8%96.8%100.8%
7.0%$2332.16$2598.17$2887.64$3202.11$3543.15
8.0%$1787.15$1991.59$2214.06$2455.71$2717.78
9.0%$1417.19$1579.84$1756.82$1949.06$2157.53
10.0%$1151.69$1284.36$1428.71$1585.50$1755.51
11.0%$953.36$1063.63$1183.61$1313.92$1455.21

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.20
Yahoo: $41.86

Results

Graham Number$62.90
Current Price$301.20
Margin of Safety-79.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 13.14%
Computed WACC: 13.14%
Cost of equity (Re)14.69%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.89 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)89.46%
Debt weight (D/V)10.54%

Results

Current Price$301.20
Implied Near-term FCF Growth70.4%
Historical Revenue Growth15.8%
Historical Earnings Growth92.8%
Base FCF (TTM)$96.63M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$301.20
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.08B
Current: 24.2×
Default: $2.40B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$301.45
Current Price$301.20
Upside / Downside+0.1%
Implied EV$26.19B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$403.14M$1.40B$2.40B$3.40B$4.40B
20.2x$271.86$259.19$246.51$233.84$221.17
22.2x$299.33$286.66$273.98$261.31$248.64
24.2x$326.80$314.13$301.45$288.78$276.11
26.2x$354.27$341.60$328.93$316.25$303.58
28.2x$381.74$369.07$356.40$343.72$331.05