MWA

MWA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($29.69)
DCF$46.89+57.9%
Graham Number$13.64-54.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 14.6%
DDM$5.56-81.3%
EV/EBITDA$29.69+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $150.78M
Rev: 4.6% / EPS: 22.7%
Computed: 10.08%
Computed WACC: 10.08%
Cost of equity (Re)10.72%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.17 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.45%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)91.12%
Debt weight (D/V)8.88%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$39.08
Current Price$29.69
Upside / Downside+31.6%
Net Debt (used)-$7.30M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term14.7%18.7%22.7%26.7%30.7%
7.0%$51.56$60.76$71.26$83.18$96.69
8.0%$41.20$48.47$56.76$66.18$76.83
9.0%$34.08$40.03$46.81$54.50$63.20
10.0%$28.90$33.89$39.57$46.01$53.29
11.0%$24.98$29.24$34.09$39.59$45.80

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.27
Yahoo: $6.51

Results

Graham Number$13.64
Current Price$29.69
Margin of Safety-54.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.08%
Computed WACC: 10.08%
Cost of equity (Re)10.72%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.17 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.45%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)91.12%
Debt weight (D/V)8.88%

Results

Current Price$29.69
Implied Near-term FCF Growth17.7%
Historical Revenue Growth4.6%
Historical Earnings Growth22.7%
Base FCF (TTM)$150.78M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.27

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$5.56
Current Price$29.69
Upside / Downside-81.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $327.00M
Current: 14.2×
Default: -$7.30M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$29.69
Current Price$29.69
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$4.64B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.01B-$1.01B-$7.30M$992.70M$1.99B
10.2x$34.12$27.72$21.33$14.93$8.54
12.2x$38.30$31.90$25.51$19.11$12.72
14.2x$42.48$36.09$29.69$23.30$16.90
16.2x$46.66$40.27$33.87$27.48$21.08
18.2x$50.84$44.45$38.05$31.66$25.27