NAD

NAD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($12.30)
DCF$63.04+412.5%
Graham Number$8.78-28.6%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 27.4%
DDM$17.51+42.4%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $77.81M
Rev: -1.6% / EPS: 50.8%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$63.04
Current Price$12.30
Upside / Downside+412.5%
Net Debt (used)$2.02B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term42.8%46.8%50.8%54.8%58.8%
7.0%$78.35$91.05$105.21$120.93$138.35
8.0%$59.26$69.14$80.14$92.36$105.90
9.0%$46.23$54.18$63.04$72.87$83.77
10.0%$36.83$43.40$50.70$58.82$67.80
11.0%$29.77$35.29$41.44$48.26$55.81

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.28
Yahoo: $12.23

Results

Graham Number$8.78
Current Price$12.30
Margin of Safety-28.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$12.30
Implied Near-term FCF Growth27.4%
Historical Revenue Growth-1.6%
Historical Earnings Growth50.8%
Base FCF (TTM)$77.81M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.85

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$17.51
Current Price$12.30
Upside / Downside+42.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $2.02B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-8.67
Current Price$12.30
Upside / Downside-170.5%
Implied EV$0