NAGE

NAGE — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($4.99)
DCF$2145.27+42891.3%
Graham Number$2.18-56.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 10.7%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$5.01+0.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $13.79M
Rev: 32.9% / EPS: 150.0%
Computed: 15.69%
Computed WACC: 15.69%
Cost of equity (Re)15.81%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.09 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.24%
Debt weight (D/V)0.76%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$682.76
Current Price$4.99
Upside / Downside+13582.6%
Net Debt (used)-$61.08M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term142.0%146.0%150.0%154.0%158.0%
7.0%$3025.19$3283.32$3558.78$3852.44$4165.19
8.0%$2308.68$2505.61$2715.76$2939.80$3178.38
9.0%$1823.80$1979.31$2145.27$2322.18$2510.59
10.0%$1477.02$1602.92$1737.27$1880.49$2033.01
11.0%$1218.93$1322.79$1433.62$1551.76$1677.57

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.24
Yahoo: $0.88

Results

Graham Number$2.18
Current Price$4.99
Margin of Safety-56.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 15.69%
Computed WACC: 15.69%
Cost of equity (Re)15.81%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.09 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.24%
Debt weight (D/V)0.76%

Results

Current Price$4.99
Implied Near-term FCF Growth26.2%
Historical Revenue Growth32.9%
Historical Earnings Growth150.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$13.79M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$4.99
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $20.08M
Current: 16.9×
Default: -$61.08M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$5.01
Current Price$4.99
Upside / Downside+0.4%
Implied EV$338.55M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.06B-$1.06B-$61.08M$938.92M$1.94B
12.9x$29.06$16.53$4.00$-8.53$-21.06
14.9x$29.57$17.03$4.50$-8.03$-20.56
16.9x$30.07$17.54$5.01$-7.52$-20.05
18.9x$30.57$18.04$5.51$-7.02$-19.55
20.9x$31.07$18.54$6.01$-6.52$-19.05