NBR

NBR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($78.12)
DCF$-63.75-181.6%
Graham Number$126.07+61.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 34.7%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$135.86+73.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $29.18M
Rev: 9.3% / EPS: —
Computed: 2.94%
Computed WACC: 2.94%
Cost of equity (Re)9.44%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.93 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)31.14%
Debt weight (D/V)68.86%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$597.87
Current Price$78.12
Upside / Downside+665.3%
Net Debt (used)$1.59B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term1.3%5.3%9.3%13.3%17.3%
7.0%$-62.19$-53.06$-42.49$-30.31$-16.35
8.0%$-70.79$-63.47$-55.02$-45.30$-34.15
9.0%$-76.72$-70.67$-63.67$-55.64$-46.44
10.0%$-81.07$-75.93$-70.00$-63.19$-55.41
11.0%$-84.39$-79.94$-74.82$-68.95$-62.25

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $17.39
Yahoo: $40.62

Results

Graham Number$126.07
Current Price$78.12
Margin of Safety+61.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 2.94%
Computed WACC: 2.94%
Cost of equity (Re)9.44%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.93 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)31.14%
Debt weight (D/V)68.86%

Results

Current Price$78.12
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-8.8%
Historical Revenue Growth9.3%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$29.18M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$78.12
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $912.67M
Current: 3.9×
Default: $1.59B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$135.86
Current Price$78.12
Upside / Downside+73.9%
Implied EV$3.59B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.59B$1.59B$1.59B$1.59B$1.59B
-0.1x$-112.94$-112.94$-112.94$-112.94$-112.94
1.9x$11.46$11.46$11.46$11.46$11.46
3.9x$135.86$135.86$135.86$135.86$135.86
5.9x$260.26$260.26$260.26$260.26$260.26
7.9x$384.66$384.66$384.66$384.66$384.66