NC

NC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($58.84)
DCF$-194.96-431.3%
Graham Number$70.91+20.5%
Reverse DCF
DDM$20.81-64.6%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$20.98M
Rev: 24.3% / EPS: -16.8%
Computed: 5.74%
Computed WACC: 5.74%
Cost of equity (Re)6.89%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.47 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)83.32%
Debt weight (D/V)16.68%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-423.34
Current Price$58.84
Upside / Downside-819.5%
Net Debt (used)$35.19M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term16.3%20.3%24.3%28.3%32.3%
7.0%$-216.00$-253.09$-295.33$-343.26$-397.43
8.0%$-173.42$-202.68$-236.00$-273.79$-316.47
9.0%$-144.17$-168.09$-195.29$-226.12$-260.93
10.0%$-122.93$-142.95$-165.72$-191.51$-220.62
11.0%$-106.84$-123.93$-143.34$-165.32$-190.12

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.91
Yahoo: $57.16

Results

Graham Number$70.91
Current Price$58.84
Margin of Safety+20.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.74%
Computed WACC: 5.74%
Cost of equity (Re)6.89%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.47 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)83.32%
Debt weight (D/V)16.68%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$58.84
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth24.3%
Historical Earnings Growth-16.8%
Base FCF (TTM)-$20.98M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.01

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$20.81
Current Price$58.84
Upside / Downside-64.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$20.76M
Current: -22.8×
Default: $35.19M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$74.44
Current Price$58.84
Upside / Downside+26.5%
Implied EV$474.14M