NCZ

NCZ — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($14.68)
DCF$-0.82-105.6%
Graham Number$59.04+302.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 53.2%
DDM$29.66+102.1%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.31M
Rev: -3.5% / EPS: -6.9%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-0.82
Current Price$14.68
Upside / Downside-105.6%
Net Debt (used)$38.68M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-0.81$-0.56$-0.27$0.06$0.44
8.0%$-1.03$-0.83$-0.60$-0.33$-0.02
9.0%$-1.18$-1.01$-0.82$-0.60$-0.34
10.0%$-1.29$-1.15$-0.98$-0.79$-0.58
11.0%$-1.37$-1.25$-1.11$-0.94$-0.76

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $10.94
Yahoo: $14.16

Results

Graham Number$59.04
Current Price$14.68
Margin of Safety+302.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$14.68
Implied Near-term FCF Growth53.2%
Historical Revenue Growth-3.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-6.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.31M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.44

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$29.66
Current Price$14.68
Upside / Downside+102.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $38.68M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-2.03
Current Price$14.68
Upside / Downside-113.8%
Implied EV$0