NEON

NEON — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($1.80)
DCF$-21.84-1313.2%
Graham Number$4.28+137.8%
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$21.51M
Rev: -48.7% / EPS: —
Computed: 8.43%
Computed WACC: 8.43%
Cost of equity (Re)8.54%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.77 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.71%
Debt weight (D/V)1.29%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-24.03
Current Price$1.80
Upside / Downside-1434.8%
Net Debt (used)-$11.19M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-22.03$-26.62$-31.96$-38.14$-45.26
8.0%$-17.99$-21.69$-25.98$-30.94$-36.64
9.0%$-15.19$-18.27$-21.84$-25.96$-30.69
10.0%$-13.14$-15.76$-18.80$-22.31$-26.33
11.0%$-11.57$-13.85$-16.48$-19.52$-23.00

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.51
Yahoo: $1.60

Results

Graham Number$4.28
Current Price$1.80
Margin of Safety+137.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.43%
Computed WACC: 8.43%
Cost of equity (Re)8.54%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.77 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.71%
Debt weight (D/V)1.29%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$1.80
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-48.7%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$21.51M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$1.80
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$11.31M
Current: -1.7×
Default: -$11.19M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1.80
Current Price$1.80
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$19.02M