NG

NG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($14.20)
DCF$-0.87-106.1%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$18.75M
Rev: — / EPS: —
Computed: 13.10%
Computed WACC: 13.10%
Cost of equity (Re)13.26%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.63 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)8.84%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)97.39%
Debt weight (D/V)2.61%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-0.58
Current Price$14.20
Upside / Downside-104.1%
Net Debt (used)$51.91M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-0.88$-1.03$-1.21$-1.41$-1.65
8.0%$-0.74$-0.86$-1.01$-1.17$-1.36
9.0%$-0.65$-0.75$-0.87$-1.01$-1.17
10.0%$-0.58$-0.67$-0.77$-0.89$-1.02
11.0%$-0.53$-0.60$-0.69$-0.79$-0.91

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.27
Yahoo: $0.40

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$14.20
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 13.10%
Computed WACC: 13.10%
Cost of equity (Re)13.26%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.63 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)8.84%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)97.39%
Debt weight (D/V)2.61%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$14.20
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$18.75M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$14.20
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$25.36M
Current: -230.0×
Default: $51.91M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$13.19
Current Price$14.20
Upside / Downside-7.1%
Implied EV$5.83B