NGD

NGD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($13.33)
DCF$29855.89+223875.1%
Graham Number$3.36-74.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 48.4%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$13.33-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $56.71M
Rev: 83.5% / EPS: 275.0%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$29855.89
Current Price$13.33
Upside / Downside+223875.1%
Net Debt (used)$273.10M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term267.0%271.0%275.0%279.0%283.0%
7.0%$45047.47$47556.27$50175.63$52909.15$55760.54
8.0%$34155.57$36057.74$38043.72$40116.27$42278.17
9.0%$26804.62$28297.36$29855.89$31482.34$33178.91
10.0%$21563.13$22763.95$24017.68$25326.05$26690.83
11.0%$17674.61$18658.85$19686.47$20758.87$21877.50

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.32
Yahoo: $1.57

Results

Graham Number$3.36
Current Price$13.33
Margin of Safety-74.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$13.33
Implied Near-term FCF Growth48.4%
Historical Revenue Growth83.5%
Historical Earnings Growth275.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$56.71M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$13.33
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $696.30M
Current: 15.5×
Default: $273.10M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$13.33
Current Price$13.33
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$10.83B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.73B-$726.90M$273.10M$1.27B$2.27B
11.5x$12.34$11.08$9.81$8.55$7.29
13.5x$14.10$12.83$11.57$10.31$9.04
15.5x$15.86$14.59$13.33$12.07$10.80
17.5x$17.61$16.35$15.09$13.83$12.56
19.5x$19.37$18.11$16.85$15.58$14.32