NHPBP

NHPBP — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($18.75)
DCF$-631874910.07-3369999620.4%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 22.6%
DDM$36.67+95.6%
EV/EBITDA$537259333.00+2865383009.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $20.46M
Rev: -3.7% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-631874910.07
Current Price$18.75
Upside / Downside-3369999620.4%
Net Debt (used)$991.07M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-628789159.44$-555528513.10$-470298328.15$-371653929.32$-258037800.95
8.0%$-693251981.28$-634285967.86$-565789958.34$-486619612.46$-395541470.21
9.0%$-737922168.25$-688823408.91$-631874910.07$-566138923.08$-490604882.73
10.0%$-770715081.08$-728828313.26$-680316858.55$-624393372.91$-560209553.84
11.0%$-795821289.05$-759429371.58$-717343581.50$-668890672.00$-613345424.20

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: —
Yahoo: $21.11

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$18.75
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$18.75
Implied Near-term FCF Growth22.6%
Historical Revenue Growth-3.7%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$20.46M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.78

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$36.67
Current Price$18.75
Upside / Downside+95.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $103.99M
Current: 14.7×
Default: $991.07M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$537259333.00
Current Price$18.75
Upside / Downside+2865383009.3%
Implied EV$1.53B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.01B-$8.93M$991.07M$1.99B$2.99B
10.7x$2121303333.00$1121303333.00$121303333.00$-878696667.00$-1878696667.00
12.7x$2329281333.00$1329281333.00$329281333.00$-670718667.00$-1670718667.00
14.7x$2537259333.00$1537259333.00$537259333.00$-462740667.00$-1462740667.00
16.7x$2745237333.00$1745237333.00$745237333.00$-254762667.00$-1254762667.00
18.7x$2953215333.00$1953215333.00$953215333.00$-46784667.00$-1046784667.00