NIO

NIO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($4.72)
DCF$-1.49-131.6%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 16.7% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-1.49
Current Price$4.72
Upside / Downside-131.6%
Net Debt (used)$3.53B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term8.7%12.7%16.7%20.7%24.7%
7.0%$-1.49$-1.49$-1.49$-1.49$-1.49
8.0%$-1.49$-1.49$-1.49$-1.49$-1.49
9.0%$-1.49$-1.49$-1.49$-1.49$-1.49
10.0%$-1.49$-1.49$-1.49$-1.49$-1.49
11.0%$-1.49$-1.49$-1.49$-1.49$-1.49

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-1.68
Yahoo: $0.22

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$4.72
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$4.72
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth16.7%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$4.72
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$12.84B
Current: -1.8×
Default: $3.53B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$8.39
Current Price$4.72
Upside / Downside+77.7%
Implied EV$23.41B