NIU

NIU — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($3.60)
DCF$19.49+441.3%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$8.60+138.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 65.4% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$19.49
Current Price$3.60
Upside / Downside+441.3%
Net Debt (used)-$1.36B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term57.4%61.4%65.4%69.4%73.4%
7.0%$19.49$19.49$19.49$19.49$19.49
8.0%$19.49$19.49$19.49$19.49$19.49
9.0%$19.49$19.49$19.49$19.49$19.49
10.0%$19.49$19.49$19.49$19.49$19.49
11.0%$19.49$19.49$19.49$19.49$19.49

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.05
Yahoo: $1.80

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$3.60
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$3.60
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth65.4%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$3.60
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $26.42M
Current: -28.7×
Default: -$1.36B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$8.60
Current Price$3.60
Upside / Downside+138.9%
Implied EV-$758.70M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.36B-$1.36B-$1.36B-$1.36B-$1.36B
-32.7x$7.08$7.08$7.08$7.08$7.08
-30.7x$7.84$7.84$7.84$7.84$7.84
-28.7x$8.60$8.60$8.60$8.60$8.60
-26.7x$9.36$9.36$9.36$9.36$9.36
-24.7x$10.12$10.12$10.12$10.12$10.12