NL

NL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($6.18)
DCF$12.61+104.1%
Graham Number$5.88-4.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 2.4%
DDM$8.24+33.3%
EV/EBITDA$6.55+5.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $13.28M
Rev: 18.7% / EPS: —
Computed: 5.05%
Computed WACC: 5.05%
Cost of equity (Re)5.06%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.14 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.83%
Debt weight (D/V)0.17%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$31.42
Current Price$6.18
Upside / Downside+408.4%
Net Debt (used)-$101.42M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term10.7%14.7%18.7%22.7%26.7%
7.0%$13.46$15.55$17.95$20.69$23.79
8.0%$11.22$12.88$14.78$16.94$19.40
9.0%$9.67$11.04$12.59$14.37$16.38
10.0%$8.55$9.70$11.01$12.50$14.19
11.0%$7.70$8.68$9.80$11.08$12.52

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.20
Yahoo: $7.68

Results

Graham Number$5.88
Current Price$6.18
Margin of Safety-4.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.05%
Computed WACC: 5.05%
Cost of equity (Re)5.06%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.14 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.83%
Debt weight (D/V)0.17%

Results

Current Price$6.18
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-11.0%
Historical Revenue Growth18.7%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$13.28M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.40

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$8.24
Current Price$6.18
Upside / Downside+33.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $11.14M
Current: 19.6×
Default: -$101.42M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$6.55
Current Price$6.18
Upside / Downside+5.9%
Implied EV$218.44M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.10B-$1.10B-$101.42M$898.58M$1.90B
15.6x$46.57$26.10$5.63$-14.83$-35.30
17.6x$47.02$26.56$6.09$-14.38$-34.84
19.6x$47.48$27.01$6.55$-13.92$-34.38
21.6x$47.93$27.47$7.00$-13.46$-33.93
23.6x$48.39$27.92$7.46$-13.01$-33.47