NLY-PJ — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($25.81)
DCF	$-115771039680.00	-448551103083.3%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	$45.73	+77.2%
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: —

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 113.9% / EPS: 81.1%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-115771039680.00

Current Price$25.81

Upside / Downside-448551103083.3%

Net Debt (used)$115.77B

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	105.9%	109.9%	113.9%	117.9%	121.9%
7.0%	$-115771039680.00	$-115771039680.00	$-115771039680.00	$-115771039680.00	$-115771039680.00
8.0%	$-115771039680.00	$-115771039680.00	$-115771039680.00	$-115771039680.00	$-115771039680.00
9.0%	$-115771039680.00	$-115771039680.00	$-115771039680.00	$-115771039680.00	$-115771039680.00
10.0%	$-115771039680.00	$-115771039680.00	$-115771039680.00	$-115771039680.00	$-115771039680.00
11.0%	$-115771039680.00	$-115771039680.00	$-115771039680.00	$-115771039680.00	$-115771039680.00

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: —

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $20.21

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$25.81

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Terminal growth rate(%)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$25.81

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth113.9%

Historical Earnings Growth81.1%

Base FCF (TTM)—

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $2.22

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$45.73

Current Price$25.81

Upside / Downside+77.2%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: —

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: —×

Net Debt($B)Default: $115.77B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-115771039680.00

Current Price$25.81

Upside / Downside-448551103083.3%

Implied EV$0

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