NNN

NNN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($45.23)
DCF$-188.14-515.9%
Graham Number$32.88-27.3%
Reverse DCF
DDM$49.44+9.3%
EV/EBITDA$45.83+1.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$1.39B
Rev: 9.1% / EPS: -2.2%
Computed: 5.65%
Computed WACC: 5.65%
Cost of equity (Re)8.82%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.82 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)64.06%
Debt weight (D/V)35.94%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-370.90
Current Price$45.23
Upside / Downside-919.9%
Net Debt (used)$4.82B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term1.1%5.1%9.1%13.1%17.1%
7.0%$-193.00$-225.99$-264.19$-308.21$-358.68
8.0%$-162.06$-188.49$-219.04$-254.21$-294.50
9.0%$-140.68$-162.58$-187.87$-216.94$-250.21
10.0%$-125.03$-143.62$-165.07$-189.70$-217.86
11.0%$-113.08$-129.16$-147.69$-168.94$-193.22

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.07
Yahoo: $23.21

Results

Graham Number$32.88
Current Price$45.23
Margin of Safety-27.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.65%
Computed WACC: 5.65%
Cost of equity (Re)8.82%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.82 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)64.06%
Debt weight (D/V)35.94%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$45.23
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth9.1%
Historical Earnings Growth-2.2%
Base FCF (TTM)-$1.39B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.40

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$49.44
Current Price$45.23
Upside / Downside+9.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $837.57M
Current: 16.1×
Default: $4.82B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$45.83
Current Price$45.23
Upside / Downside+1.3%
Implied EV$13.52B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$2.82B$3.82B$4.82B$5.82B$6.82B
12.1x$38.72$33.45$28.19$22.92$17.66
14.1x$47.54$42.27$37.01$31.74$26.48
16.1x$56.36$51.09$45.83$40.56$35.30
18.1x$65.18$59.91$54.65$49.38$44.12
20.1x$74.00$68.73$63.47$58.20$52.94