NODK

NODK — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($13.33)
DCF$46.63+249.8%
Graham Number$5.41-59.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -17.5%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$13.31-0.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $53.42M
Rev: -14.0% / EPS: —
Computed: 6.37%
Computed WACC: 6.37%
Cost of equity (Re)6.40%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.38 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.46%
Debt weight (D/V)0.54%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$77.94
Current Price$13.33
Upside / Downside+484.6%
Net Debt (used)-$23.15M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$47.03$56.31$67.11$79.60$94.00
8.0%$38.86$46.33$55.01$65.04$76.58
9.0%$33.20$39.42$46.63$54.96$64.53
10.0%$29.04$34.35$40.50$47.58$55.71
11.0%$25.86$30.47$35.81$41.94$48.98

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.11
Yahoo: $11.82

Results

Graham Number$5.41
Current Price$13.33
Margin of Safety-59.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.37%
Computed WACC: 6.37%
Cost of equity (Re)6.40%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.38 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.46%
Debt weight (D/V)0.54%

Results

Current Price$13.33
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-14.0%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$53.42M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$13.33
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $7.71M
Current: 32.6×
Default: -$23.15M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$13.31
Current Price$13.33
Upside / Downside-0.2%
Implied EV$251.11M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.02B-$1.02B-$23.15M$976.85M$1.98B
28.6x$108.87$60.34$11.81$-36.72$-85.25
30.6x$109.62$61.09$12.56$-35.97$-84.50
32.6x$110.37$61.84$13.31$-35.22$-83.75
34.6x$111.12$62.59$14.06$-34.47$-83.00
36.6x$111.87$63.34$14.81$-33.72$-82.25