NPFD

NPFD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($19.63)
DCF$1.65-91.6%
Graham Number$29.59+50.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 25.0%
DDM$38.73+97.3%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $12.01M
Rev: 6.4% / EPS: -15.7%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$1.65
Current Price$19.63
Upside / Downside-91.6%
Net Debt (used)$188.98M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-1.6%2.4%6.4%10.4%14.4%
7.0%$1.81$3.74$5.98$8.57$11.55
8.0%$0.07$1.63$3.42$5.50$7.89
9.0%$-1.13$0.16$1.65$3.38$5.35
10.0%$-2.01$-0.91$0.36$1.82$3.50
11.0%$-2.68$-1.73$-0.63$0.63$2.08

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.94
Yahoo: $20.06

Results

Graham Number$29.59
Current Price$19.63
Margin of Safety+50.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$19.63
Implied Near-term FCF Growth25.0%
Historical Revenue Growth6.4%
Historical Earnings Growth-15.7%
Base FCF (TTM)$12.01M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.88

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$38.73
Current Price$19.63
Upside / Downside+97.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $188.98M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-7.82
Current Price$19.63
Upside / Downside-139.8%
Implied EV$0