NPO

NPO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($264.05)
DCF$129.80-50.8%
Graham Number$55.97-78.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 25.2%
DDM$25.75-90.2%
EV/EBITDA$261.89-0.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $111.58M
Rev: 14.3% / EPS: —
Computed: 11.42%
Computed WACC: 11.42%
Cost of equity (Re)12.89%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.56 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)88.61%
Debt weight (D/V)11.39%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$82.60
Current Price$264.05
Upside / Downside-68.7%
Net Debt (used)$606.70M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term6.3%10.3%14.3%18.3%22.3%
7.0%$138.96$170.76$207.36$249.30$297.14
8.0%$106.83$132.16$161.28$194.61$232.61
9.0%$84.69$105.56$129.53$156.95$188.19
10.0%$68.52$86.15$106.38$129.50$155.81
11.0%$56.22$71.39$88.78$108.64$131.22

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.90
Yahoo: $73.29

Results

Graham Number$55.97
Current Price$264.05
Margin of Safety-78.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 11.42%
Computed WACC: 11.42%
Cost of equity (Re)12.89%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.56 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)88.61%
Debt weight (D/V)11.39%

Results

Current Price$264.05
Implied Near-term FCF Growth32.4%
Historical Revenue Growth14.3%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$111.58M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.25

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$25.75
Current Price$264.05
Upside / Downside-90.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $275.00M
Current: 22.4×
Default: $606.70M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$261.89
Current Price$264.05
Upside / Downside-0.8%
Implied EV$6.17B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.39B-$393.30M$606.70M$1.61B$2.61B
18.4x$304.24$257.18$210.12$163.05$115.99
20.4x$330.13$283.07$236.00$188.94$141.88
22.4x$356.01$308.95$261.89$214.82$167.76
24.4x$381.90$334.84$287.77$240.71$193.65
26.4x$407.78$360.72$313.66$266.59$219.53