NRC

NRC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($13.85)
DCF$5.45-60.7%
Graham Number$2.66-80.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 16.5%
DDM$11.54-16.7%
EV/EBITDA$13.85-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $11.37M
Rev: -4.6% / EPS: -71.5%
Computed: 6.48%
Computed WACC: 6.48%
Cost of equity (Re)7.03%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.50 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.48%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)79.58%
Debt weight (D/V)20.42%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$11.10
Current Price$13.85
Upside / Downside-19.9%
Net Debt (used)$76.39M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$5.52$7.32$9.41$11.83$14.62
8.0%$3.94$5.39$7.07$9.01$11.25
9.0%$2.84$4.05$5.45$7.06$8.91
10.0%$2.04$3.06$4.26$5.63$7.21
11.0%$1.42$2.31$3.35$4.54$5.90

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.51
Yahoo: $0.62

Results

Graham Number$2.66
Current Price$13.85
Margin of Safety-80.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.48%
Computed WACC: 6.48%
Cost of equity (Re)7.03%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.50 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.48%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)79.58%
Debt weight (D/V)20.42%

Results

Current Price$13.85
Implied Near-term FCF Growth7.8%
Historical Revenue Growth-4.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-71.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$11.37M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.56

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$11.54
Current Price$13.85
Upside / Downside-16.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $30.21M
Current: 12.9×
Default: $76.39M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$13.85
Current Price$13.85
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$389.91M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.92B-$923.61M$76.39M$1.08B$2.08B
8.9x$96.86$52.69$8.51$-35.66$-79.84
10.9x$99.53$55.36$11.18$-32.99$-77.17
12.9x$102.20$58.02$13.85$-30.33$-74.50
14.9x$104.87$60.69$16.52$-27.66$-71.83
16.9x$107.54$63.36$19.19$-24.99$-69.16