NRDS

NRDS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($11.36)
DCF$105.80+831.4%
Graham Number$10.54-7.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -19.0%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$18.04+58.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $88.08M
Rev: 22.6% / EPS: -62.5%
Computed: 12.04%
Computed WACC: 12.04%
Cost of equity (Re)12.25%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.45 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.30%
Debt weight (D/V)1.70%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$67.78
Current Price$11.36
Upside / Downside+496.7%
Net Debt (used)-$85.70M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term14.6%18.6%22.6%26.6%30.6%
7.0%$116.31$136.72$160.02$186.50$216.47
8.0%$93.34$109.47$127.88$148.77$172.42
9.0%$77.56$90.76$105.80$122.88$142.18
10.0%$66.08$77.15$89.76$104.06$120.22
11.0%$57.39$66.85$77.61$89.82$103.60

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.94
Yahoo: $5.25

Results

Graham Number$10.54
Current Price$11.36
Margin of Safety-7.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 12.04%
Computed WACC: 12.04%
Cost of equity (Re)12.25%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.45 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.30%
Debt weight (D/V)1.70%

Results

Current Price$11.36
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-14.1%
Historical Revenue Growth22.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-62.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$88.08M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$11.36
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $80.40M
Current: 8.1×
Default: -$85.70M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$18.04
Current Price$11.36
Upside / Downside+58.8%
Implied EV$654.30M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.09B-$1.09B-$85.70M$914.30M$1.91B
4.1x$58.95$34.57$10.20$-14.18$-38.55
6.1x$62.86$38.49$14.12$-10.26$-34.63
8.1x$66.78$42.41$18.04$-6.34$-30.71
10.1x$70.70$46.33$21.96$-2.42$-26.79
12.1x$74.62$50.25$25.88$1.50$-22.87