NSA-PA

NSA-PA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($20.77)
DCF
Graham Number$13.48-35.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 65.0%
DDM$30.90+48.7%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $221.98M
Rev: 2.2% / EPS: 54.7%
Computed: 4.11%
Computed WACC: 4.11%
Cost of equity (Re)10.83%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.19 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)37.92%
Debt weight (D/V)62.08%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$20.77
Upside / Downside
Net Debt (used)$3.40B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term46.7%50.7%54.7%58.7%62.7%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
11.0%

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.03
Yahoo: $7.85

Results

Graham Number$13.48
Current Price$20.77
Margin of Safety-35.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.11%
Computed WACC: 4.11%
Cost of equity (Re)10.83%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.19 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)37.92%
Debt weight (D/V)62.08%

Results

Current Price$20.77
Implied Near-term FCF Growth65.0%
Historical Revenue Growth2.2%
Historical Earnings Growth54.7%
Base FCF (TTM)$221.98M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.50

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$30.90
Current Price$20.77
Upside / Downside+48.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $453.91M
Current: 13.1×
Default: $3.40B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share
Current Price$20.77
Upside / Downside
Implied EV$5.94B