NSA

NSA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($34.26)
DCF$708.16+1967.0%
Graham Number$11.04-67.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 12.5%
DDM$46.97+37.1%
EV/EBITDA$46.39+35.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $221.98M
Rev: 2.2% / EPS: 54.7%
Computed: 6.45%
Computed WACC: 6.45%
Cost of equity (Re)10.83%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.19 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)59.52%
Debt weight (D/V)40.48%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$1363.26
Current Price$34.26
Upside / Downside+3879.2%
Net Debt (used)$3.40B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term46.7%50.7%54.7%58.7%62.7%
7.0%$879.91$1011.26$1157.21$1318.96$1497.74
8.0%$675.67$777.65$890.95$1016.48$1155.23
9.0%$536.43$618.40$709.45$810.32$921.78
10.0%$436.04$503.59$578.61$661.70$753.50
11.0%$360.67$417.40$480.39$550.14$627.19

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.69
Yahoo: $7.85

Results

Graham Number$11.04
Current Price$34.26
Margin of Safety-67.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.45%
Computed WACC: 6.45%
Cost of equity (Re)10.83%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.19 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)59.52%
Debt weight (D/V)40.48%

Results

Current Price$34.26
Implied Near-term FCF Growth4.0%
Historical Revenue Growth2.2%
Historical Earnings Growth54.7%
Base FCF (TTM)$221.98M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.28

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$46.97
Current Price$34.26
Upside / Downside+37.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $453.91M
Current: 15.4×
Default: $3.40B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$46.39
Current Price$34.26
Upside / Downside+35.4%
Implied EV$6.97B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.40B$2.40B$3.40B$4.40B$5.40B
11.4x$48.78$35.79$22.79$9.80$-3.19
13.4x$60.58$47.58$34.59$21.60$8.60
15.4x$72.37$59.38$46.39$33.39$20.40
17.4x$84.17$71.18$58.18$45.19$32.19
19.4x$95.97$82.97$69.98$56.98$43.99