NTIC

NTIC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($8.75)
DCF$-7.33-183.7%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM$0.82-90.6%
EV/EBITDA$9.47+8.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$2.81M
Rev: 9.2% / EPS: -57.7%
Computed: 4.70%
Computed WACC: 4.70%
Cost of equity (Re)5.43%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.21 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)86.50%
Debt weight (D/V)13.50%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-21.11
Current Price$8.75
Upside / Downside-341.2%
Net Debt (used)$6.57M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term1.2%5.2%9.2%13.2%17.2%
7.0%$-7.54$-8.89$-10.45$-12.24$-14.30
8.0%$-6.28$-7.35$-8.60$-10.04$-11.68
9.0%$-5.40$-6.29$-7.33$-8.51$-9.87
10.0%$-4.76$-5.52$-6.39$-7.40$-8.55
11.0%$-4.27$-4.93$-5.68$-6.55$-7.54

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.03
Yahoo: $7.63

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$8.75
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.70%
Computed WACC: 4.70%
Cost of equity (Re)5.43%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.21 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)86.50%
Debt weight (D/V)13.50%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$8.75
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth9.2%
Historical Earnings Growth-57.7%
Base FCF (TTM)-$2.81M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.04

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$0.82
Current Price$8.75
Upside / Downside-90.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $589,106
Current: 163.8×
Default: $6.57M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$9.47
Current Price$8.75
Upside / Downside+8.3%
Implied EV$96.50M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.99B-$993.43M$6.57M$1.01B$2.01B
159.8x$219.93$114.58$9.23$-96.13$-201.48
161.8x$220.05$114.70$9.35$-96.00$-201.35
163.8x$220.18$114.83$9.47$-95.88$-201.23
165.8x$220.30$114.95$9.60$-95.75$-201.11
167.8x$220.43$115.07$9.72$-95.63$-200.98