NTR

NTR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($74.66)
DCF$20328960.15+27228617.1%
Graham Number$74.22-0.6%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 16.9%
DDM$45.32-39.3%
EV/EBITDA$75.49+1.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.36B
Rev: 5.7% / EPS: 414.7%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$20345340.94
Current Price$74.66
Upside / Downside+27250557.6%
Net Debt (used)$11.32B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term406.7%410.7%414.7%418.7%422.7%
7.0%$31782883.48$33057334.76$34372345.14$35728875.10$37127900.16
8.0%$24035262.59$24999040.95$25993491.21$27019339.73$28077324.20
9.0%$18812623.53$19566978.74$20345340.94$21148278.65$21976369.27
10.0%$15093570.23$15698794.86$16323280.40$16967482.96$17631865.81
11.0%$12338385.02$12833129.41$13343618.67$13870225.65$14413329.05

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.66
Yahoo: $52.54

Results

Graham Number$74.22
Current Price$74.66
Margin of Safety-0.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$74.66
Implied Near-term FCF Growth16.9%
Historical Revenue Growth5.7%
Historical Earnings Growth414.7%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.36B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$45.32
Current Price$74.66
Upside / Downside-39.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $5.41B
Current: 8.8×
Default: $11.32B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$75.49
Current Price$74.66
Upside / Downside+1.1%
Implied EV$47.80B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$5.32B$8.32B$11.32B$14.32B$17.32B
4.8x$43.11$36.91$30.70$24.49$18.29
6.8x$65.51$59.30$53.09$46.89$40.68
8.8x$87.90$81.69$75.49$69.28$63.07
10.8x$110.30$104.09$97.88$91.67$85.47
12.8x$132.69$126.48$120.28$114.07$107.86