NTST

NTST — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($20.94)
DCF$32.86+56.9%
Graham Number$5.29-74.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 13.9%
DDM$18.13-13.4%
EV/EBITDA$18.59-11.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $115.10M
Rev: 19.6% / EPS: —
Computed: 7.50%
Computed WACC: 7.50%
Cost of equity (Re)9.12%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.88 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.22%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)67.46%
Debt weight (D/V)32.54%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$47.64
Current Price$20.94
Upside / Downside+127.5%
Net Debt (used)$1.09B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term11.6%15.6%19.6%23.6%27.6%
7.0%$36.57$45.07$54.81$65.90$78.49
8.0%$27.36$34.09$41.80$50.57$60.53
9.0%$21.02$26.54$32.86$40.04$48.19
10.0%$16.40$21.05$26.35$32.38$39.22
11.0%$12.90$16.88$21.42$26.58$32.42

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.08
Yahoo: $15.54

Results

Graham Number$5.29
Current Price$20.94
Margin of Safety-74.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.50%
Computed WACC: 7.50%
Cost of equity (Re)9.12%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.88 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.22%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)67.46%
Debt weight (D/V)32.54%

Results

Current Price$20.94
Implied Near-term FCF Growth9.1%
Historical Revenue Growth19.6%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$115.10M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.88

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$18.13
Current Price$20.94
Upside / Downside-13.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $154.86M
Current: 20.2×
Default: $1.09B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$18.59
Current Price$20.94
Upside / Downside-11.2%
Implied EV$3.13B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.09B$1.09B$1.09B$1.09B$1.09B
16.2x$12.94$12.94$12.94$12.94$12.94
18.2x$15.77$15.77$15.77$15.77$15.77
20.2x$18.59$18.59$18.59$18.59$18.59
22.2x$21.41$21.41$21.41$21.41$21.41
24.2x$24.24$24.24$24.24$24.24$24.24