NUE

NUE — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($175.39)
DCF$-379.91-316.6%
Graham Number$124.48-29.0%
Reverse DCF
DDM$46.14-73.7%
EV/EBITDA$184.90+5.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$903.37M
Rev: 8.6% / EPS: 34.2%
Computed: 12.21%
Computed WACC: 12.21%
Cost of equity (Re)14.02%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.77 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)2.70%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)84.70%
Debt weight (D/V)15.30%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-235.91
Current Price$175.39
Upside / Downside-234.5%
Net Debt (used)$4.55B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term26.2%30.2%34.2%38.2%42.2%
7.0%$-434.82$-502.94$-579.83$-666.33$-763.29
8.0%$-347.47$-400.88$-461.14$-528.90$-604.84
9.0%$-287.67$-331.02$-379.91$-434.86$-496.43
10.0%$-244.36$-280.43$-321.09$-366.78$-417.95
11.0%$-211.67$-242.26$-276.72$-315.43$-358.77

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $7.51
Yahoo: $91.70

Results

Graham Number$124.48
Current Price$175.39
Margin of Safety-29.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 12.21%
Computed WACC: 12.21%
Cost of equity (Re)14.02%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.77 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)2.70%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)84.70%
Debt weight (D/V)15.30%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$175.39
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth8.6%
Historical Earnings Growth34.2%
Base FCF (TTM)-$903.37M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.24

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$46.14
Current Price$175.39
Upside / Downside-73.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.14B
Current: 11.3×
Default: $4.55B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$184.90
Current Price$175.39
Upside / Downside+5.4%
Implied EV$46.87B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$2.55B$3.55B$4.55B$5.55B$6.55B
7.3x$121.30$116.93$112.56$108.19$103.82
9.3x$157.47$153.10$148.73$144.36$139.99
11.3x$193.64$189.27$184.90$180.53$176.16
13.3x$229.81$225.44$221.07$216.70$212.33
15.3x$265.98$261.61$257.24$252.87$248.50