NWPX

NWPX — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($79.83)
DCF$46.72-41.5%
Graham Number$58.23-27.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 12.8%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$81.77+2.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $31.56M
Rev: 5.0% / EPS: -9.7%
Computed: 8.32%
Computed WACC: 8.32%
Cost of equity (Re)9.48%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.94 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)87.77%
Debt weight (D/V)12.23%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$53.54
Current Price$79.83
Upside / Downside-32.9%
Net Debt (used)$105.15M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$47.22$58.98$72.66$88.50$106.74
8.0%$36.87$46.33$57.33$70.04$84.66
9.0%$29.70$37.58$46.72$57.28$69.40
10.0%$24.43$31.16$38.95$47.92$58.23
11.0%$20.40$26.24$33.00$40.78$49.70

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.66
Yahoo: $41.17

Results

Graham Number$58.23
Current Price$79.83
Margin of Safety-27.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.32%
Computed WACC: 8.32%
Cost of equity (Re)9.48%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.94 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)87.77%
Debt weight (D/V)12.23%

Results

Current Price$79.83
Implied Near-term FCF Growth10.7%
Historical Revenue Growth5.0%
Historical Earnings Growth-9.7%
Base FCF (TTM)$31.56M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$79.83
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $68.90M
Current: 12.9×
Default: $105.15M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$81.77
Current Price$79.83
Upside / Downside+2.4%
Implied EV$890.93M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.89B-$894.85M$105.15M$1.11B$2.11B
8.9x$261.21$157.15$53.09$-50.97$-155.03
10.9x$275.55$171.49$67.43$-36.63$-140.69
12.9x$289.89$185.83$81.77$-22.29$-126.35
14.9x$304.23$200.17$96.11$-7.95$-112.01
16.9x$318.57$214.51$110.45$6.39$-97.68