NWS

NWS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($26.41)
DCF$163.61+519.5%
Graham Number$16.53-37.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -20.0%
DDM$4.12-84.4%
EV/EBITDA$84.21+218.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.72B
Rev: 5.5% / EPS: -9.9%
Computed: 8.02%
Computed WACC: 8.02%
Cost of equity (Re)9.62%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.97 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)83.34%
Debt weight (D/V)16.66%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$194.35
Current Price$26.41
Upside / Downside+635.9%
Net Debt (used)$867.00M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-2.5%1.5%5.5%9.5%13.5%
7.0%$165.84$200.22$240.20$286.44$339.68
8.0%$135.33$162.98$195.09$232.18$274.82
9.0%$114.20$137.21$163.88$194.66$230.00
10.0%$98.69$118.31$141.01$167.18$197.20
11.0%$86.82$103.85$123.54$146.20$172.16

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.77
Yahoo: $15.77

Results

Graham Number$16.53
Current Price$26.41
Margin of Safety-37.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.02%
Computed WACC: 8.02%
Cost of equity (Re)9.62%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.97 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)83.34%
Debt weight (D/V)16.66%

Results

Current Price$26.41
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth5.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-9.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.72B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$4.12
Current Price$26.41
Upside / Downside-84.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.19B
Current: 13.8×
Default: $867.00M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$84.21
Current Price$26.41
Upside / Downside+218.8%
Implied EV$16.41B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.13B-$133.00M$867.00M$1.87B$2.87B
9.8x$69.32$63.90$58.48$53.07$47.65
11.8x$82.18$76.76$71.35$65.93$60.51
13.8x$95.04$89.62$84.21$78.79$73.37
15.8x$107.90$102.49$97.07$91.65$86.23
17.8x$120.76$115.35$109.93$104.51$99.09