NX

NX — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($19.63)
DCF$21.00+7.0%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 4.4%
DDM$6.59-66.4%
EV/EBITDA$20.10+2.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $99.25M
Rev: -0.5% / EPS: —
Computed: 7.82%
Computed WACC: 7.82%
Cost of equity (Re)9.27%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.90 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)7.96%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)51.37%
Debt weight (D/V)48.63%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$29.51
Current Price$19.63
Upside / Downside+50.4%
Net Debt (used)$777.72M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$21.33$29.06$38.06$48.48$60.48
8.0%$14.52$20.75$27.98$36.34$45.96
9.0%$9.80$14.99$21.00$27.94$35.92
10.0%$6.34$10.76$15.89$21.79$28.57
11.0%$3.69$7.53$11.98$17.09$22.96

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-5.43
Yahoo: $15.99

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$19.63
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.82%
Computed WACC: 7.82%
Cost of equity (Re)9.27%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.90 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)7.96%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)51.37%
Debt weight (D/V)48.63%

Results

Current Price$19.63
Implied Near-term FCF Growth1.1%
Historical Revenue Growth-0.5%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$99.25M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.32

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$6.59
Current Price$19.63
Upside / Downside-66.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $221.90M
Current: 7.7×
Default: $777.72M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$20.10
Current Price$19.63
Upside / Downside+2.4%
Implied EV$1.70B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.22B-$222.28M$777.72M$1.78B$2.78B
3.7x$44.32$22.55$0.78$-20.99$-42.76
5.7x$53.98$32.21$10.44$-11.33$-33.10
7.7x$63.64$41.87$20.10$-1.67$-23.44
9.7x$73.30$51.53$29.76$7.99$-13.78
11.7x$82.96$61.19$39.42$17.65$-4.11