NXDT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($4.69)
DCF	$4.38	-6.6%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 5.5%
DDM	$12.36	+163.5%
EV/EBITDA	$4.92	+4.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $29.98M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -25.4% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 3.82%

Computed WACC: 3.82%

Cost of equity (Re)9.10%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.87 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)42.03%

Debt weight (D/V)57.97%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$47.05

Current Price$4.69

Upside / Downside+903.3%

Net Debt (used)$311.53M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$4.47	$6.66	$9.21	$12.16	$15.55
8.0%	$2.55	$4.31	$6.36	$8.72	$11.44
9.0%	$1.21	$2.68	$4.38	$6.35	$8.60
10.0%	$0.23	$1.48	$2.93	$4.60	$6.52
11.0%	$-0.52	$0.57	$1.83	$3.27	$4.93

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-2.27

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $15.07

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$4.69

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 3.82%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 3.82%

Cost of equity (Re)9.10%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.87 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)42.03%

Debt weight (D/V)57.97%

Results

Current Price$4.69

Implied Near-term FCF Growth-16.5%

Historical Revenue Growth-25.4%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)$29.98M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $0.60

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$12.36

Current Price$4.69

Upside / Downside+163.5%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $19.66M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 28.1×

Net Debt($B)Default: $311.53M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$4.92

Current Price$4.69

Upside / Downside+4.9%

Implied EV$552.61M

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$1.69B	-$688.47M	$311.53M	$1.31B	$2.31B
24.1x	$44.11	$23.71	$3.31	$-17.09	$-37.49
26.1x	$44.92	$24.52	$4.12	$-16.28	$-36.68
28.1x	$45.72	$25.32	$4.92	$-15.48	$-35.88
30.1x	$46.52	$26.12	$5.72	$-14.68	$-35.08
32.1x	$47.32	$26.92	$6.52	$-13.88	$-34.28

← Overview Financial Statements ← Companies