NXPI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($224.76)
DCF	$112.15	-50.1%
Graham Number	$84.40	-62.5%
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 16.9%
DDM	$83.64	-62.8%
EV/EBITDA	$226.32	+0.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $1.88B

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 7.2% / EPS: -6.8%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 10.63%

Computed WACC: 10.63%

Cost of equity (Re)12.22%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.44 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)4.34%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)81.95%

Debt weight (D/V)18.05%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$81.33

Current Price$224.76

Upside / Downside-63.8%

Net Debt (used)$9.24B

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-0.8%	3.2%	7.2%	11.2%	15.2%
7.0%	$115.29	$145.56	$180.70	$221.26	$267.87
8.0%	$87.70	$112.00	$140.16	$172.63	$209.91
9.0%	$68.61	$88.80	$112.15	$139.04	$169.88
10.0%	$54.62	$71.80	$91.64	$114.47	$140.61
11.0%	$43.93	$58.81	$75.99	$95.72	$118.30

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $7.96

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $39.77

Results

Graham Number$84.40

Current Price$224.76

Margin of Safety-62.5%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 10.63%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 10.63%

Cost of equity (Re)12.22%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.44 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)4.34%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)81.95%

Debt weight (D/V)18.05%

Results

Current Price$224.76

Implied Near-term FCF Growth21.6%

Historical Revenue Growth7.2%

Historical Earnings Growth-6.8%

Base FCF (TTM)$1.88B

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $4.06

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$83.64

Current Price$224.76

Upside / Downside-62.8%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $4.05B

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 16.4×

Net Debt($B)Default: $9.24B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$226.32

Current Price$224.76

Upside / Downside+0.7%

Implied EV$66.43B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	$5.24B	$7.24B	$9.24B	$11.24B	$13.24B
12.4x	$177.99	$170.07	$162.16	$154.25	$146.33
14.4x	$210.07	$202.15	$194.24	$186.32	$178.41
16.4x	$242.15	$234.23	$226.32	$218.40	$210.49
18.4x	$274.23	$266.31	$258.40	$250.48	$242.57
20.4x	$306.30	$298.39	$290.47	$282.56	$274.64

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