NXT

NXT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($103.72)
DCF$280.66+170.6%
Graham Number$35.75-65.5%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 15.3%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$103.72+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $454.17M
Rev: 33.9% / EPS: 7.9%
Computed: 17.24%
Computed WACC: 17.24%
Cost of equity (Re)17.29%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.36 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.71%
Debt weight (D/V)0.29%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$99.75
Current Price$103.72
Upside / Downside-3.8%
Net Debt (used)-$907.82M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term25.9%29.9%33.9%37.9%41.9%
7.0%$322.79$374.89$433.72$499.91$574.13
8.0%$256.17$297.03$343.14$395.00$453.14
9.0%$210.56$243.73$281.14$323.21$370.34
10.0%$177.53$205.13$236.25$271.23$310.41
11.0%$152.60$176.00$202.39$232.02$265.21

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.92
Yahoo: $14.49

Results

Graham Number$35.75
Current Price$103.72
Margin of Safety-65.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 17.24%
Computed WACC: 17.24%
Cost of equity (Re)17.29%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.36 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.71%
Debt weight (D/V)0.29%

Results

Current Price$103.72
Implied Near-term FCF Growth34.8%
Historical Revenue Growth33.9%
Historical Earnings Growth7.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$454.17M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$103.72
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $765.04M
Current: 18.9×
Default: -$907.82M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$103.72
Current Price$103.72
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$14.49B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.91B-$1.91B-$907.82M$92.18M$1.09B
14.9x$96.58$89.85$83.11$76.37$69.64
16.9x$106.89$100.15$93.42$86.68$79.94
18.9x$117.19$110.46$103.72$96.99$90.25
20.9x$127.50$120.76$114.03$107.29$100.56
22.9x$137.80$131.07$124.33$117.60$110.86