OBDC

OBDC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($11.29)
DCF$18.19+61.1%
Graham Number$20.33+80.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 9.8%
DDM$31.11+175.5%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $620.29M
Rev: 13.5% / EPS: -40.9%
Computed: 6.35%
Computed WACC: 6.35%
Cost of equity (Re)8.11%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.69 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.65%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)38.29%
Debt weight (D/V)61.71%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$45.46
Current Price$11.29
Upside / Downside+302.7%
Net Debt (used)$8.78B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term5.5%9.5%13.5%17.5%21.5%
7.0%$20.25$27.47$35.79$45.33$56.23
8.0%$13.03$18.78$25.41$32.99$41.65
9.0%$8.05$12.79$18.25$24.50$31.62
10.0%$4.41$8.42$13.03$18.30$24.30
11.0%$1.64$5.10$9.06$13.59$18.74

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.24
Yahoo: $14.81

Results

Graham Number$20.33
Current Price$11.29
Margin of Safety+80.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.35%
Computed WACC: 6.35%
Cost of equity (Re)8.11%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.69 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.65%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)38.29%
Debt weight (D/V)61.71%

Results

Current Price$11.29
Implied Near-term FCF Growth1.1%
Historical Revenue Growth13.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-40.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$620.29M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.51

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$31.11
Current Price$11.29
Upside / Downside+175.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $8.78B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-17.58
Current Price$11.29
Upside / Downside-255.7%
Implied EV$0