OBIO

OBIO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($4.48)
DCF$-8.40-287.3%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$31.56M
Rev: -12.8% / EPS: —
Computed: 7.21%
Computed WACC: 7.21%
Cost of equity (Re)7.57%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.59 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)1.98%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)94.04%
Debt weight (D/V)5.96%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-12.17
Current Price$4.48
Upside / Downside-371.4%
Net Debt (used)-$79.78M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-8.48$-10.48$-12.81$-15.51$-18.61
8.0%$-6.72$-8.33$-10.20$-12.37$-14.85
9.0%$-5.50$-6.84$-8.40$-10.19$-12.26
10.0%$-4.61$-5.75$-7.08$-8.60$-10.36
11.0%$-3.92$-4.91$-6.06$-7.39$-8.90

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-1.80
Yahoo: $0.78

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$4.48
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.21%
Computed WACC: 7.21%
Cost of equity (Re)7.57%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.59 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)1.98%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)94.04%
Debt weight (D/V)5.96%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$4.48
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-12.8%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$31.56M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$4.48
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$74.91M
Current: -2.2×
Default: -$79.78M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$4.38
Current Price$4.48
Upside / Downside-2.3%
Implied EV$167.50M