OC

OC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($116.71)
DCF$89.51-23.3%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 7.7%
DDM$60.98-47.8%
EV/EBITDA$117.22+0.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $715.12M
Rev: -16.8% / EPS: —
Computed: 8.82%
Computed WACC: 8.82%
Cost of equity (Re)11.72%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.35 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.98%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)62.71%
Debt weight (D/V)37.29%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$94.01
Current Price$116.71
Upside / Downside-19.5%
Net Debt (used)$5.36B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$90.85$122.71$159.77$202.66$252.06
8.0%$62.82$88.46$118.24$152.67$192.27
9.0%$43.39$64.74$89.51$118.09$150.94
10.0%$29.14$47.35$68.44$92.76$120.67
11.0%$18.22$34.04$52.34$73.41$97.56

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.82
Yahoo: $48.04

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$116.71
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.82%
Computed WACC: 8.82%
Cost of equity (Re)11.72%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.35 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.98%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)62.71%
Debt weight (D/V)37.29%

Results

Current Price$116.71
Implied Near-term FCF Growth7.2%
Historical Revenue Growth-16.8%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$715.12M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.96

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$60.98
Current Price$116.71
Upside / Downside-47.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.26B
Current: 6.5×
Default: $5.36B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$117.22
Current Price$116.71
Upside / Downside+0.4%
Implied EV$14.78B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$3.36B$4.36B$5.36B$6.36B$7.36B
2.5x$29.54$17.10$4.65$-7.79$-20.23
4.5x$85.82$73.38$60.94$48.49$36.05
6.5x$142.10$129.66$117.22$104.78$92.33
8.5x$198.38$185.94$173.50$161.06$148.62
10.5x$254.66$242.22$229.78$217.34$204.90