OCFC

OCFC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($18.58)
DCF$-27.72-249.2%
Graham Number$27.63+48.7%
Reverse DCF
DDM$16.48-11.3%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 9.7% / EPS: -36.2%
Computed: 3.70%
Computed WACC: 3.70%
Cost of equity (Re)9.88%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.01 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)37.46%
Debt weight (D/V)62.54%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-27.72
Current Price$18.58
Upside / Downside-249.2%
Net Debt (used)$1.59B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term1.7%5.7%9.7%13.7%17.7%
7.0%$-27.72$-27.72$-27.72$-27.72$-27.72
8.0%$-27.72$-27.72$-27.72$-27.72$-27.72
9.0%$-27.72$-27.72$-27.72$-27.72$-27.72
10.0%$-27.72$-27.72$-27.72$-27.72$-27.72
11.0%$-27.72$-27.72$-27.72$-27.72$-27.72

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.17
Yahoo: $29.00

Results

Graham Number$27.63
Current Price$18.58
Margin of Safety+48.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 3.70%
Computed WACC: 3.70%
Cost of equity (Re)9.88%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.01 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)37.46%
Debt weight (D/V)62.54%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$18.58
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth9.7%
Historical Earnings Growth-36.2%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.80

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$16.48
Current Price$18.58
Upside / Downside-11.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $1.59B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-27.72
Current Price$18.58
Upside / Downside-249.2%
Implied EV$0