OCGN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($1.94)
DCF	$-21.13	-1189.1%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$27.17M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 54.2% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 18.80%

Computed WACC: 18.80%

Cost of equity (Re)19.78%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.81 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)95.07%

Debt weight (D/V)4.93%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-5.55

Current Price$1.94

Upside / Downside-386.0%

Net Debt (used)$399,000

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	46.2%	50.2%	54.2%	58.2%	62.2%
7.0%	$-25.87	$-29.56	$-33.66	$-38.21	$-43.23
8.0%	$-20.16	$-23.02	$-26.21	$-29.74	$-33.64
9.0%	$-16.26	$-18.57	$-21.13	$-23.96	$-27.10
10.0%	$-13.46	$-15.36	$-17.46	$-19.80	$-22.38
11.0%	$-11.35	$-12.94	$-14.71	$-16.68	$-18.84

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.22

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $0.01

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$1.94

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 18.80%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 18.80%

Cost of equity (Re)19.78%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.81 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)95.07%

Debt weight (D/V)4.93%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$1.94

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth54.2%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$27.17M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$1.94

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$57.51M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -10.5×

Net Debt($B)Default: $399,000

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1.85

Current Price$1.94

Upside / Downside-4.6%

Implied EV$606.28M

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