OCUL

OCUL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($10.98)
DCF$-7.31-166.6%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$128.28M
Rev: -22.4% / EPS: —
Computed: 9.24%
Computed WACC: 9.24%
Cost of equity (Re)9.51%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.95 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)1.15%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)96.88%
Debt weight (D/V)3.12%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-6.94
Current Price$10.98
Upside / Downside-163.2%
Net Debt (used)-$660.09M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-7.40$-9.51$-11.97$-14.81$-18.08
8.0%$-5.55$-7.24$-9.22$-11.50$-14.12
9.0%$-4.26$-5.67$-7.31$-9.21$-11.38
10.0%$-3.31$-4.52$-5.92$-7.53$-9.38
11.0%$-2.59$-3.64$-4.85$-6.25$-7.85

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-1.42
Yahoo: $3.03

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$10.98
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.24%
Computed WACC: 9.24%
Cost of equity (Re)9.51%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.95 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)1.15%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)96.88%
Debt weight (D/V)3.12%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$10.98
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-22.4%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$128.28M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$10.98
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$265.69M
Current: -6.5×
Default: -$660.09M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$10.98
Current Price$10.98
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$1.73B