ODC

ODC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($69.00)
DCF$64.63-6.3%
Graham Number$38.64-44.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 6.1%
DDM$14.83-78.5%
EV/EBITDA$97.25+40.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $38.75M
Rev: -5.8% / EPS: -6.1%
Computed: 8.30%
Computed WACC: 8.30%
Cost of equity (Re)8.56%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.77 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.49%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)94.88%
Debt weight (D/V)5.12%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$72.66
Current Price$69.00
Upside / Downside+5.3%
Net Debt (used)$11.84M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$65.20$78.61$94.22$112.28$133.09
8.0%$53.39$64.19$76.73$91.23$107.91
9.0%$45.21$54.20$64.63$76.67$90.50
10.0%$39.21$46.88$55.76$66.00$77.75
11.0%$34.61$41.27$48.98$57.85$68.02

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.63
Yahoo: $18.28

Results

Graham Number$38.64
Current Price$69.00
Margin of Safety-44.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.30%
Computed WACC: 8.30%
Cost of equity (Re)8.56%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.77 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.49%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)94.88%
Debt weight (D/V)5.12%

Results

Current Price$69.00
Implied Near-term FCF Growth4.2%
Historical Revenue Growth-5.8%
Historical Earnings Growth-6.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$38.75M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.72

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$14.83
Current Price$69.00
Upside / Downside-78.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $86.66M
Current: 11.7×
Default: $11.84M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$97.25
Current Price$69.00
Upside / Downside+40.9%
Implied EV$1.02B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.99B-$988.16M$11.84M$1.01B$2.01B
7.7x$257.11$160.42$63.74$-32.95$-129.63
9.7x$273.86$177.18$80.49$-16.19$-112.88
11.7x$290.62$193.94$97.25$0.56$-96.12
13.7x$307.38$210.69$114.01$17.32$-79.36
15.7x$324.13$227.45$130.76$34.08$-62.61